Trend Analysis

Market Strategy Radar Screen Weekly - July 20, 2015


In this article:

  • Market Analysis
  • S&P 500
  • Asset Allocation

RELATED ARTICLES:

Everyday, Everyday I Have the Blues

By John Stoltzfus,
Chief Investment Strategist

Another Brick in the Wall

By John Stoltzfus,
Chief Investment Strategist


Other Articles By John Stoltzfus:

Everyday, Everyday I Have the Blues

By John Stoltzfus,
Chief Investment Strategist

Another Brick in the Wall

By John Stoltzfus,
Chief Investment Strategist


On the Road Again – Summer Edition

A sampling of questions from meetings with advisors and their clients across the U.S.


We were traveling on business over the past two weeks in the New York Metropolitan area, Miami, Chicago and on several conference calls with international investors

The intermittent rallies in global equity markets on news of progress made in Europe, Greece and in China over recent days show no small amount of evidence of the resilience of the world markets as well as a high degree of faith by investors in the capabilities of crisis experienced governmental agencies and monetary policy makers around the world to respond to real-time situations that develop.

As the eye of the storm in Europe and in China appears to have passed, uncertainty still remains and is likely to linger until the outcome of what is taking place in those respective locales becomes clearer.

That said, we believe that the environment remains conducive for economic growth to reassert itself and carry economies outside of the U.S. to improved levels of recovery and add to the sustainability of the U.S. economic expansion that’s in progress.

In the commodity complex, prices of many key components have come under pressure as efficiencies in discovery, production and usage alter levels of supply and demand, keeping a lid on pricing. Adding to pricing pressures on commodities are slower regional and global growth, low rates of inflation and a strong U.S. dollar.

We continue to believe that risk and opportunity lie in close proximity to each other on the current economic landscape with opportunity supported by cyclical and secular growth trends and improving fundamentals that are likely to continue to comfortably offset risk in the near to intermediate term.

 

Important Disclosures

The strategy presented here is provided by Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. It reflects analysis of fundamental, macroeconomic and quantitative data to provide investment analysis with respect to U.S. securities markets. The overview in this report is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an offer to sell, a solicitation to buy, or a recommendation for any security or investment advisory services. The report is not intended to provide personal investment advice.

 

Securities and other financial instruments discussed in this report or recommended or sold by Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. are not insured by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporate and are not deposits or obligations of any insured depositary institution. Investments involve numerous risks including market risk, counterparty default risk and liquidity risk. Securities and other financial investments at times may be difficult to value or sell. The value of financial instruments may fluctuate, and investors may lose their entire principal investment.


 

Distribution in Hong Kong: This report is prepared for professional investors and is being distributed in Hong Kong by Oppenheimer Investments Asia Limited (OIAL) to persons whose business involves the acquisition, disposal or holding of securities, whether as principal or agent. OIAL, a subsidiary of Oppenheimer & Co. Inc., is regulated by the Securities and Futures Commission for the conduct of dealing in securities, advising on securities, and advising on Corporate Finance. For professional investors in Hong Kong, please contact researchasia@opco.com for all matters and queries relating to this report.

 

Potential Conflicts of Interest

Strategic analysts employed by Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. are compensated from revenues generated by the firm. Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. generally prohibits strategists and members of his or her households from executing trades in the securities of a company that is discussed in a strategy report. . Recipients of this report are advised that any or all of the foregoing as well as more specific disclosures set forth below, may at times give rise to potential conflicts of interest.

 

Other Disclosures

This report is issued and approved by Oppenheimer & Co. Inc., a member of all Principal Exchanges, and SIPC. This report is distributed by Oppenheimer & Co. Inc., for informational purposes only, to its institutional and retail investor clients. This report does not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities discussed herein in any jurisdiction where such offer or solicitation would be prohibited. The securities mentioned in this report may not be suitable for all types of investors. This report does not take into account the investment objectives, financial situation or specific needs of any particular client of Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. Recipients should consider this report as only a single factor in making an investment decision and should not rely solely on investment recommendations contained herein, if any, as a substitution for the exercise of independent judgment of the merits and risks of investments. The strategist writing this report is not a person or company with actual, implied or apparent authority to act on behalf of any issuer mentioned in the report. Before making an investment decision with respect to any security discussed in this report, the recipient should consider whether such investment is appropriate given the recipient's particular investment needs, objectives and financial circumstances. We recommend that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourage investors to seek the advice of a financial advisor. Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. will not treat non-client recipients as its clients solely by virtue of their receiving this report. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results, and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made regarding future performance of any security mentioned in this report. The price of the securities mentioned in this report and the income they produce may fluctuate and/or be adversely affected by exchange rates, and investors may realize losses on investments in such securities, including the loss of investment principal.

 

Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. accepts no liability for any loss arising from the use of information contained in this report. All information, opinions and statistical data contained in this report were obtained or derived from public sources believed to be reliable, but Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. does not represent that any such information, opinion or statistical data is accurate or complete and they should not be relied upon as such. All estimates and opinions expressed herein constitute judgments as of the date of this report and are subject to change without notice. Nothing in this report constitutes legal, accounting or tax advice. Since the levels and bases of taxation can change, any reference in this report to the impact of taxation


 

INVESTMENT STRATEGY

should not be construed as offering tax advice on the tax consequences of investments. As with any investment having potential tax implications, clients should consult with their own independent tax adviser.

 

This report may provide addresses of, or contain hyperlinks to, Internet web sites. Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. has not reviewed the linked Internet web site of any third party and takes no responsibility for the contents thereof. Each such address or hyperlink is provided solely for the recipient's convenience and information, and the content of linked third party web sites is not in any way incorporated into this document. Recipients who choose to access such third-party web sites or follow such hyperlinks do so at their own risk. The S&P 500 Index is an unmanaged value-weighted index of 500 common stocks that is generally considered representative of the U.S. stock market. The S&P 500 index figures do not reflect any fees, expenses or taxes. This research is distributed in the UK and elsewhere throughout Europe, as third party research by Oppenheimer Europe Ltd, which is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA). This research is for information purposes only and is not to be construed as a solicitation or an offer to purchase or sell investments or related financial instruments. This report is for distribution only to persons who are eligible counterparties or professional clients and is exempt from the general restrictions in section 21 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 on the communication of invitations or inducements to engage in investment activity on the grounds that it is being distributed in the UK only to persons of a kind described in Article 19(5) (Investment Professionals) and 49(2) High Net Worth companies, unincorporated associations etc.) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005 (as amended). It is not intended to be distributed or passed on, directly or indirectly, to any other class of persons. In particular, this material is not for distribution to, and should not be relied upon by, retail clients, as defined under the rules of the FCA. Neither the FCA’s protection rules nor compensation scheme may be applied. This report or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold, or redistributed without the written consent of Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. Copyright © Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. 2015.

%MCEPASTEBIN%


About John Stolzfus

John is one of the most popular faces around Oppenheimer: our clients have come to rely on his market recaps for timely analysis and a confident viewpoint on the road forward. He frequently lends his expertise to CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox Business channel and other notable networks.

Full Profile